Influence of the Demographic Factor on Socio-Economic Security of a City
Romanovska Y. A.

Romanovska, Yuliia A. (2020) “Influence of the Demographic Factor on Socio-Economic Security of a City.” The Problems of Economy 2:407–415.
https://doi.org/10.32983/2222-0712-2020-2-407-415

Section: Social economy, policy and demography

UDC 911.37:338.2:314.7.044

Abstract:
Socio- economic security is one of the important conditions for development of a city. Its provision depends on the influence of a combination of factors, the demographic one being among most important. This factor is complex in nature, thus, in studying its impact on socio-economic security of an urban geosystem, two aspects are singled out – birth to death ratio and labor migration. The impact of labor migration on socio-economic security of an urban geosystem is multifaceted. In view of this, for its consideration, a cognitive map for two types of labor migration – labor emigration and labor immigration – is developed. In the cognitive map, the impact of labor migration on socio-economic security of a city is described in two loops – short-term and long-term ones. Based on the results of the study, it is found that the relationships between the factors, processes and phenomena which determine the impact of labor migration on socio-economic security of a city are non-linear and not simple, with labor migration being simultaneously a factor of the state of socio-economic security of the city and its consequence. Quantitative assessment of the influence of the demographic factor on socio-economic security of an urban geosystem requires reliable data, which can be used to determine the main parameters of internal and external migration flows. Indeed, based on the existing estimates, it is difficult to imagine the scale of internal and external migration, its impact on the social component of an urban geosystem, as well as to organize activities of the city government to ensure the socio-economic security of the city.

Keywords: city, social and economic security, demographic factor, labor migration, influence, cognitive map.

Fig.: 2. Tabl.: 1. Bibl.: 27.

Romanovska Yuliia A. – Candidate of Sciences (Economics), Associate Professor, Associate Professor, Department of Finance, Vinnitsa Institute of Trade and Economy of Kyiv National University of Trade and Economy (87 Soborna Str., Vinnytsia, 21050, Ukraine)
Email: bogdana32rom@ukr.net

List of references in article

Nordstrem, K., and Shlingman, P. Urban Express. 15 pravil novogo mira, v kotorom glavnaya rol u gorodov i zhenshchin [Urban Express. 15 Rules of a New World in Which Cities and Women Play a Major Role]. Moscow: Alpina Pablisher, 2019.
“Naselennia“ [Population]. http://www.ukrstat.gov.ua/operativ/operativ2007/ds/nas_rik/nas_u/nas_rik_u.html
Bukolova, V. V. “Teoretychni ta instrumentalni zasady otsiniuvannia sotsialno-ekonomichnoi bezpeky rehionu“ [Theoretical and Instrumental Principles of Assessing the Socio-economic Security of the Region]: avtoref. dys. … kand. ekon. nauk : 08.00.05, 2019.
Kozachenko, H. V., and Bukolova, V. V. “Sotsialno-ekonomichna bezpeka rehionu: zmist poniattia ta osoblyvosti doslidzhennia“ [Socio-economic Security of the Region: The Content of the Concept and Features of the Study]. In Ekonomichna bezpeka: derzhava, rehion, pidpryiemstvo, 169-179. Poltava: PoltNTU, 2018.
Bondarevska, O. M. “Ekonomichna bezpeka rehioniv u systemi ekonomichnoi bezpeky derzhavy“ [Economic Security of Regions in the System of Economic Security of the State]. Naukovyi visnyk Mizhnarodnoho humanitarnoho universytetu. Seriia : Ekonomika i menedzhment, no. 24 (2017): 54-57.
Antoshkin, V. K. “Sotsialno-ekonomichna bezpeka rehioniv Ukrainy: problemy vymiriuvannia ta perspektyvy rozvytku“ [Socio-economic Security of the Regions of Ukraine: Measurement Problems and Development Prospects]. Visnyk Berdianskoho universytetu menedzhmentu i biznesu, no. 1 (2017): 29-3.
Antoshkin, V. K. “Ekonomichna ta natsionalna bezpeka rehioniv“ [Economic and National Security of the Regions]. Visnyk Berdianskoho universytetu menedzhmentu i biznesu, no. 2(26) (2014): 108-109.
Dykan, V. V., and Aleksandrova, O. Yu. “Mekhanizm zabezpechennia ekonomichnoi bezpeky rehionu: sutnist, skladovi, napriamy dii“ [The Mechanism of Economic Security of the Region: Essence, Components, Directions of Action]. Visnyk ekonomiky transportu i promyslovosti, no. 58 (2017): 18-25.
Zhadan, Ye. “Metodolohichni zasady formuvannia modeli sotsialnoi bezpeky mista“ [Methodological Bases of Formation of Model of Social Safety of the City]. Derzhavne upravlinnia ta mistseve samovriaduvannia. 2015. http://www.dridu.dp.ua/vidavnictvo/2015/2015_01(24)/33.pdf
Zhukova, N. V. “Ekonomichni interesy staloho rozvytku malykh mist u systemi ekonomichnoi bezpeky derzhavy“ [Economic Interests of Sustainable Development of Small Towns in the System of Economic Security of the State]. Naukovyi visnyk Uzhhorodskoho natsionalnoho universytetu. Seriia : Mizhnarodni ekonomichni vidnosyny ta svitove hospodarstvo, no. 14(1) (2017): 98-103.
Pluzhnyk, A. V. “Formuvannia systemy zabezpechennia ekonomichnoi bezpeky mista“ [Formation of a System for Ensuring the Economic Security of the City]. Scientific Journal «ScienceRise». 2015. http://journals.uran.ua/sciencerise/article/view/47225/43687
Pluzhnik, A. V. “Kontseptsiia ekonomichnoi bezpeky mist Ukrainy v umovakh hlobalizatsii“ [The Concept of Economic Security of Ukrainian Cities in the Context of Globalization]. Naukovyi visnyk Poltavskoho universytetu ekonomiky i torhivli, no. 2(53) (2012): 51-53.
Romanovska, Yu. A. “Sotsialno-ekonomichna bezpeka mista“ [Socio-economic Security of the City]. Ekonomichnyi chasopys Skhidnoievropeiskoho natsionalnoho universytetu imeni Lesi Ukrainky, vol. 4, no. 20 (2019): 82-92.
“Databank is in the stage of filling up and testing“. http://database.ukrcensus.gov.ua/Mult/Dialog/Saveshow.asp
“Mihratsiia v Ukraini: fakty i tsyfry“ [Migration in Ukraine: Facts and Figures]. http://iom.org.ua/sites/default/files/ff_ukr_21_10_press.pdf
“Silske naselennia Ukrainy za 10 rokiv skorotylosia na 16 %“ [The Rural Population of Ukraine Has Decreased by 16% in 10 Years]. https://www.ukrinform.ua/rubric-society/2736219-silske-naselenna-ukraini-za-10-rokiv-skorotilosa-na-16-ekspert.html
Virts, K. A. et al. “Vplyv mizhnarodnoi mihratsii na vitchyznianu ekonomiku“ [The Impact of International Migration on the Domestic Economy]. Molodyi vchenyi. 2016. http://molodyvcheny.in.ua/files/journal/2016/12/163.pdf
“Naseleniye Kiyevshchiny prodolzhayet uvelichivatsya tolko za schet migratsii“ [The Population of the Kiev Region Continues to Increase Only due to Migration]. http://kievvlast.com.ua/news/naselenie-kievshhiny-prodolzhaet-uvelichivatsya-tolko-za-schet-migratsii
Sariohlo, V. “Zovnishnia trudova mihratsiia v Ukraini: motyvy, masshtaby, naslidky“ [External Labor Migration in Ukraine: Motives, Scale, Consequences]. Ekonomichnyi analiz, vol. 29, no. 1 (2019): 36-43.
“Mihratsiia yak chynnyk rozvytku v Ukraini“ [Migration as a Factor of Development in Ukraine]. Kyiv : MOM, 2016. http://www.iom.org.ua/sites/default/files/mom_migraciya_yak_chynnyk_rozvytku_v_ukrayini.pdf
“International migration report high lights 2017“. http://www.un.org/en/development/desa/population/migration/publications/migrationreport/docs/MigrationReport2017_Highlights.pdf
Zakha, D., and Luke, M. “Kintsia-kraiu ne vydno: trudova mihratsiia z Ukrainy mozhe spovilnytysia, prote, shvydshe za vse, tryvatyme. Doslidzhennia Nimetskoi konsultatyvnoi hrupy v Ukraini“ [The End Is Not in Sight: Labor Migration from Ukraine May Slow Down, but is Likely to Continue. Research of the German Advisory Group in Ukraine]. https://voxukraine.org/uk/kintsya-krayu-ne-vidno-trudova-migratsiya-z-ukrayini-mozhe-spovilnitisya-prote-shvidshe-za-vse-trivatime/
“Skilky ukraintsiv poikhalo za kordon i shcho derzhavi z tsym robyty“ [How Many Ukrainians Went Abroad and What Should the State do About It]. Tsentr ekonomichnoi stratehii. April 23, 2018. https://ces.org.ua/wp-content/uploads/2018/04/Migration-note.pdf
“Skilky zarobliaie likar u Polshchi?“ [How Much Does a Doctor Earn in Poland?]. https://za-kordon.in.ua/uk/statti/statti-pro-robotu/1117-skilki-zaroblyae-likar-u-polshchi
Peshkova, A. “Skolko zarabatyvayut ukrainskiye vrachi?“ [How Much Do Ukrainian Doctors Earn?]. https://112.ua/statji/odnim-pribavka-k-zarplate-drugim--sokrashhenie-kak-gosudarstvo-podderzhivaet-medikov-vo-vremya-koronavirusa-532203.html
Pozniak, O. “Ukraintsi za kordonom: chy zmenshytsia kilkist trudovykh mihrantiv u 2019“ [Ukrainians Abroad: Will the Number of Labor Migrants Decrease in 2019?]. https://voxukraine.org/uk/connector/ukrayintsi-za-kordonom-chi-zmenshitsya-kilkist-trudovih-migrantiv-u-2019/
“U Natsbanku povidomyly, skilky hroshei zarobitchany perekazaly v Ukrainu u 2019 rotsi“ [The National Bank Reported How Much Money the Workers Transferred to Ukraine in 2019]. https://hromadske.ua/posts/u-nacbanku-povidomili-skilki-groshej-zarobitchani-perekazali-v-ukrayinu-u-2019-roci